March Madness is here folks. I know some of you, especially ones that actually read this thing, have already looked at the tournament field and made some predictions. ESPN had a two-hour bracket prediction show yesterday about an hour after they announced the tournament teams that might have helped. But you never know with ESPN bias if they are actually telling you what they think or what they want you to think.
I am here to tell you what I think. And also some stats that I hope will help when filling out that dang bracket. I will try not to be biased with North Carolina, but we will see. Just announcing it right now. Shall we begin?
First I will start out saying that no matter how many stats you look at, you can't predict freak things happening like a 15 beating a 2. That's stupid. Or the fact that UCONN won last year of the playing ability of one player. Stuff like that might happen, but is it logical to pick a team to win games like that?
I will go region by region to get my final four. Then I will explain that reasoning. I will also be filling in my bracket, as I write this. And again, go ahead and join the March Madness group I created on ESPN. Let's see who gets the luckiest!
Midwest Region
1. Kentucky vs. 16. Hampton
Stats: None needed.
Analysis: Good job by Hampton by winning the first "Play-In" game. I really hope you can make history.
Prediction:
8. Cincinnati vs. 9. Purdue
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Cincinnati (62.4 PPG) | Purdue (69.9 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Cincinnati (55.3 PPG) | Purdue (64.5 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Cincinnati (45.3%) | Purdue (45.3%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Cincinnati (39.0%) | Purdue (40.1%)
- Rebounding Margin: Cincinnati (5.0) | Purdue (4.5)
- Turnover Margin: Cincinnati (-0.6) | (-1.4)
- RPI (Strength of Schedule/Wins versus that Schedule): Cincinnati (37) | Purdue (55)
Analysis: Purdue has played a much tougher schedule than the Bearcats of Cincinnati and I think that will help them in this game. Cincinnati was on a roll at the end of the season, but lost to UCONN on a buzzer beater in the American Tournament. 8 and 9 games are 50/50, but I think the way Cincinnati has played during the season is just better than Purdue.
Prediction:
5. West Virginia vs. 12. Buffalo
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: West Virginia (73.9 PPG) | Buffalo (75.0 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: West Virginia (66.8 PPG) | Buffalo (68.3 PPG)
- FG Percentage: West Virginia (41.2%) | Buffalo (43.5%)
- FG Percentage Defense: West Virginia (46.8%) | Buffalo (42.4%)
- Rebounding Margin: West Virginia (3.6) | Buffalo (3.1)
- Turnover Margin: West Virginia (6.6) | Buffalo (2.3)
- RPI: West Virginia (24) | Buffalo (28)
Analysis: This game has the potential of being very good. Buffalo holds the lead in all the scoring and defense categories, but West Virginia holds the edge on the boards/turnovers and RPI. I think the key stat in this one is the turnovers. West Virginia is a scrappy team and is very careful with the ball. When they turn up their defense, Buffalo might be scratching their heads.
Prediction:
4. Maryland vs. 13. Valparaiso
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Maryland (69.5 PPG) | Valparaiso (69.8 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Maryland (63.2 PPG) | Valparaiso (59.3 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Maryland (43.8%) | Valparaiso (45.9%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Maryland (39.6%) | Valparaiso (38%)
- Rebounding Margin: Maryland (1.5) | Valparaiso (7.2)
- Turnover Margin: Maryland (-0.8) | Valparaiso (-0.3)
- RPI: Maryland (13) | Valparaiso (50)
Analysis: Valparaiso leads is every category, but the RPI. Maryland has much more talent and if Wells or their freshman gets hot, Maryland could be the UConn of this year's tournament. But it's March Madness BABY!!! (Dick Vitale voice)
Prediction:
6. Butler vs. 11. Texas
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Butler (69.6 PPG) | Texas (67.9 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Butler (61.2 PPG) | Texas (60.4 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Butler (43.9%) | Texas (43.6%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Butler (41.6%) | Texas (36.8%)
- Rebounding Margin: Butler (6.5) | Texas (8.3)
- Turnover Margin: Butler (1.2) | Texas (-3.7)
- RPI: Butler (31) | Texas (42)
Analysis: Pretty much back and forth on many of the major stats. Texas is a team that I believe didn't do enough to get into the tournament. They are good enough to be in, but I don't think the resume was at all good. Butler was a lock for the tournament and can really hang with team's on the boards. They made it to two straight championships a few year's ago, but that is not this team. Texas shouldn't have gotten in, but will prove they are pretty good.
Prediction:
3. Notre Dame vs. 14. Northeastern
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Notre Dame (78.8 PPG) | Northeastern (68.6 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Notre Dame (65.6 PPG) | Northeastern (65.0 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Notre Dame (51.0%) | Northeastern (48.6 %)
- FG Percentage Defense: Notre Dame (42.7%) | Northeastern (44.5%)
- Rebounding Margin: Notre Dame (0.1) | Northeastern (4.8)
- Turnover Margin: Notre Dame (1.9) | Northeastern (-3.7)
- RPI: Notre Dame (16) | Northeastern (86)
Analysis: Even if Northeastern wins the rebounding battle, they aren't going to be able to stop the Irish. Key State: Defensive FG Percentage
Prediction:
7. Wichita State vs. 10. Indiana
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Wichita State (69.7 PPG) | Indiana (77.5 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Wichita State (55.8 PPG) | Indiana (71.4 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Wichita State (44.6%) | Indiana (46.6%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Wichita State (39.8%) | Indiana (45.5%)
- Rebounding Margin: Wichita State (5.3) | Indiana (3.2)
- Turnover Margin: Wichita State (3.9) | Indiana (-0.7)
- RPI: Wichita State (18) | Indiana (61)
Analysis: I think by far Wichita State is a better team than a 7 seed. This match-up is a battle of offense and defense, but Wichita State isn't too far off the pace of Indiana's offense and the Hoosier defense isn't really good at all.
Prediction:
2. Kansas vs. 15. New Mexico State
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Kansas (71.2 PPG) | New Mexico State (68.5 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Kansas (64.7 PPG) | New Mexico State (59.3 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Kansas (44.0%) | New Mexico State (46.6%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Kansas (39.5%) | New Mexico State (42.1%)
- Rebounding Margin: Kansas (3.6) | New Mexico State (6.8)
- Turnover Margin: Kansas (-1.1) | New Mexico State (-0.8)
- RPI: Kansas (3) | New Mexico State (103)
Analysis: Don't let the stats fool you. New Mexico State has a chance to scare Kansas, but won't be able to keep up.
Prediction:
1. Kentucky vs. 8. Cincinnati
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Kentucky (74.9 PPG) | Cincinnati (62.4 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Kentucky (54.0 PPG) | Cincinnati (55.3 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Kentucky (46.9%) | Cincinnati (45.3%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Kentucky (35.5%) | Cincinnati (39.0%)
- Rebounding Margin: Kentucky (7.4) | Cincinnati (5.0)
- Turnover Margin: Kentucky (3.4) | Cincinnati (-0.6)
- RPI: Kentucky (1) | Cincinnati (37)
Analysis: I do think Kentucky's soft schedule the past few months will catch up to them, but it is going to have to take a team far better than Cincinnati to do so. Also, the further Kentucky goes the more dangerous become.
Prediction:
5. West Virginia vs. 13. Valparaiso
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: West Virginia (73.9 PPG) | Valparaiso (69.8 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: West Virginia (66.8 PPG) | Valparaiso (59.3 PPG)
- FG Percentage: West Virginia (41.2%) | Valparaiso (45.9%)
- FG Percentage Defense: West Virginia (46.8%) | Valparaiso (38.0%)
- Rebounding Margin: West Virginia (3.6) | Valparaiso (7.2)
- Turnover Margin: West Virginia (6.6) | Valparaiso (-0.3)
- RPI: West Virginia (24) | Valparaiso (50)
Analysis: Turnover margin. A team like Valparaiso worst nightmare is a team that can force turnovers and be careful with the ball. WVU can turn on the pressure in the second half and it will be game, set, match.
Prediction:
11. Texas vs. 3. Notre Dame
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Texas (67.9 PPG) | Notre Dame (78.8 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Texas (60.4 PPG) | Notre Dame (65.6 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Texas (43.6%) | Notre Dame (51.0%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Texas (36.8%) | Notre Dame (42.7%)
- Rebounding Margin: Texas (8.3) | Notre Dame (0.1)
- Turnover Margin: Texas (-3.7) | Notre Dame (1.9)
- RPI: Texas (42) | Notre Dame (16)
Analysis: This is another matchup of offense and defense. Notre Dame can shoot lights out any given night and Texas can/will control the boards in this game. Scoring prevails in this one, as Texas can't keep up and gives the ball away too many times.
Prediction:
7. Wichita State vs. 2. Kansas
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Wichita State (69.7 PPG) | Kansas (71.2 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Wichita State (55.8 PPG) | Kansas (64.7 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Wichita State (44.6%) | Kansas (44.0%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Wichita State (39.8%) | Kansas (39.5%)
- Rebounding Margin: Wichita State (5.3) | Kansas (3.6)
- Turnover Margin: Wichita State (3.9) | Kansas (-1.1)
- RPI: Wichita State (18) | Kansas (3)
Analysis: This is the game Wichita State has been waiting for years to play. The Shockers want to prove that they are the best team in Kansas, while Kansas is in a lose/lose situation. Kansas has better talent, but couldn't close the door on some teams during the season. I'm shocked too.
Prediction:
Sweet Sixteen: 1. Kentucky vs. 5. West Virginia
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Kentucky (74.9 PPG) | West Virginia (73.9 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Kentucky (54.0 PPG) | West Virginia (66.8 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Kentucky (46.9%) | West Virginia (41.2%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Kentucky (35.5%) | West Virginia (46.8%)
- Rebounding Margin: Kentucky (7.4) | West Virginia (3.6)
- Turnover Margin: Kentucky (3.4) | West Virginia (6.6)
- RPI: Kentucky (1) | West Virginia (24)
Analysis: It will be Kentucky's first major test and will be decided by single digits. WVU will have an opportunity to pressure the Wildcats, but I just think Kentucky is a better defensive team than WVU in terms of missing shot and that is what will decide it.
Prediction:
Sweet Sixteen: 3. Notre Dame vs. 7. Wichita State
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Notre Dame (78.8 PPG) | Wichita State (69.7 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Notre Dame (65.6 PPG) | Wichita State (55.8 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Notre Dame (51.0%) | Wichita State (44.6%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Notre Dame (42.7%) | Wichita State (39.8%)
- Rebounding Margin: Notre Dame (0.1) | Wichita State (5.3)
- Turnover Margin: Notre Dame (1.9) | Wichita State (3.9)
- RPI: Notre Dame (16) | Wichita State (18)
Analysis: Like I have said before, Notre Dame can shoot with any team in the country. Wichita State focuses more on defense. This game will be tightly contested the whole time as Notre Dame's shooting will balance out with Wichita State's rebounding margin and defense. And the winner is...
Prediction:
Elite Eight: 1. Kentucky vs. 7. Wichita State
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Kentucky (74.9 PPG) | Wichita State (69.7 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Kentucky (54.0 PPG) | Wichita State (55.8 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Kentucky (46.9%) | Wichita State (44.6%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Kentucky (35.5%) | Wichita State (39.8%)
- Rebounding Margin: Kentucky (7.4) | Wichita State (5.3)
- Turnover Margin: Kentucky (3.4) | Wichita State (3.9)
- RPI: Kentucky (1) | Wichita State (18)
Analysis: This is a rematch for the Shockers who were "upset" by Kentucky last year in the tournament. Now if Wichita State would win it would be an upset. I see a lot of similarities between Wichita State and Kentucky. They play the same way: focus on defensive and crashing the boards. They are basically the same type of team, except the Wildcats have better players.
Prediction:
West Regional
1. Wisconsin vs. 16. Coastal Carolina
No Stats Needed. 16 will never beat a 1.
Analysis: Wisconsin's Player of Year candidate Frank "The Tank" won't even have to show up to this one.
Prediction:
8. Oregon vs. 9. Oklahoma State
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Oregon (75.6 PPG) | Oklahoma State (67.3 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Oregon (70.7 PPG) | Oklahoma State (62.3 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Oregon (46.1%) | Oklahoma State (43.9%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Oregon (42.1%) | Oklahoma State (39.9%)
- Rebounding Margin: Oregon (1.4) | Oklahoma State (-2.0)
- Turnover Margin: Oregon (-0.2) | Oklahoma State (1.5)
- RPI: Oregon (27) | Oklahoma State (49)
Analysis: Another offense/defense game in the tournament. 50/50 this one. Key stat: Rebounding Margin.
Prediction:
5. Arkansas vs. 12. Wofford
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Arkansas (78.0 PPG) | Wofford (67.0 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Arkansas (70.1 PPG) | Wofford (59.8 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Arkansas (44.7%) | Wofford (45.8%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Arkansas (43.1%) | Wofford (41.7%)
- Rebounding Margin: Arkansas (0.4) | Wofford (1.4)
- Turnover Margin: Arkansas (4.2) | Wofford (1.9)
- RPI: Arkansas (20) | Wofford (47)
Analysis: Wofford will be able to hang on against Arkansas, as their defensive effienciency is much higher than the Razorbacks. Arkansas likes to play a frantic type of basketball, which Wofford will have no problem playing in the first half. Wofford only has one playmaker on their team and I believe he will be worn out by the second half. WOO PIG SUEY!
Prediction:
4. North Carolina vs. 13. Harvard
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: North Carolina (77.9 PPG) | Harvard (64.2 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: North Carolina (68.4 PPG) | Harvard (57.2 PPG)
- FG Percentage: North Carolina (47.5%) | Harvard (43.5%)
- FG Percentage Defense: North Carolina (39.8%) | Harvard (39.9%)
- Rebounding Margin: North Carolina (8.2) | Harvard (3.7)
- Turnover Margin: North Carolina (-0.3) | Harvard (0.9)
- RPI: North Carolina (11) | Harvard (52)
Analysis: Harvard's top two rebounders this year are 6'7 and 6'5. It will be the Brice Johnson and Kennedy Meeks show for the Tar Heels.
Prediction:
6. Xavier vs. 11. Ole Miss
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Xavier (73.6 PPG) | Ole Miss (72.6 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Xavier (67.6 PPG) | Ole Miss (67.5 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Xavier (47.3%) | Ole Miss (42.6%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Xavier (43.7%) | Ole Miss (40.0%)
- Rebounding Margin: Xavier (3.6) | Ole Miss (2.8)
- Turnover Margin: Xavier (0.9) | Ole Miss (1.3)
- RPI: Xavier (30) |Ole Miss (60)
Analysis: I originally had BYU winning this match-up if they played against Xavier, but now I think Xavier matches up well with Ole Miss. Both team's are pretty much even on how many points per game they score and how many points they allow per game. I think the big difference is FG%. Xavier shoots it extremely effective from the floor and won't allow any 17 points leads evaporate.
Prediction:
3. Baylor vs. 14. Georgia State
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Baylor (69.5 PPG) | Georgia State (72.0 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Baylor (60.3 PPG) | Georgia State (62.2 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Baylor (43.4%) | Georgia State (48%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Baylor (40.2%) | Georgia State (38.1%)
- Rebounding Margin: Baylor (8.0) | Georgia State (-0.6)
- Turnover Margin: Baylor (-0.3) | Georgia State (4.5)
- RPI: Baylor (10) | Georgia State (53)
Analysis: Baylor holds a distinct edge in the rebounding category and might out-rebound Georgia State by 15. Georgia State is really good at forcing turnovers. Can they get more turnovers to balance out the rebounding?
Prediction:
7. VCU vs. 10. Ohio State
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: VCU (72.5 PPG) | Ohio State (75.8 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: VCU (65.5 PPG) | Ohio State (62.3 PPG)
- FG Percentage: VCU (42.0%) | Ohio State (48.6%)
- FG Percentage Defense: VCU (43.3%) | Ohio State (40.5%)
- Rebounding Margin: VCU (-1.3) | Ohio State (2.9)
- Turnover Margin: VCU (5.5) | Ohio State (3.4)
- RPI: VCU (15) | Ohio State (41)
Analysis: The only thing going for VCU in this match-up is forcing turnovers, but against a better and more talented team than who they are used to playing, VCU will give away just as many turnovers as they force.
Prediction:
2. Arizona vs. 15. Texas Southern
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Arizona (76.4 PPG) | Texas Southern (68.2 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Arizona (58.6 PPG) | Texas Southern (67.4 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Arizona (48.9%) | Texas Southern (44.4%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Arizona (39.2%) | Texas Southern (44.0%)
- Rebounding Margin: Arizona (8.8) | Texas Southern (0.4)
- Turnover Margin: Arizona (2.9) | Texas Southern (-0.8)
- RPI: Arizona (5) | Texas Southern (118)
Analysis: This one could get ugly.
Prediction:
1. Wisconsin vs. 8. Oregon
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Wisconsin (71.9 PPG) | Oregon (75.6 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Wisconsin (56.1 PPG) | Oregon (70.7 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Wisconsin (48.0%) | Oregon (46.1%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Wisconsin (41.9%) | Oregon (42.1%)
- Rebounding Margin: Wisconsin (6.0) | Oregon (1.4)
- Turnover Margin: Wisconsin (2.6) | Oregon (-0.2)
- RPI: Wisconsin (4) | Oregon (27)
Analysis: Oregon will be forced to play Wisconsin's tempo. Half-court defense and outstanding rebounding are too much for the Ducks.
Prediction:
5. Arkansas vs. 4. North Carolina
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Arkansas (78.0 PPG) | North Carolina (77.9 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Arkansas (70.1 PPG) | North Carolina (68.4 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Arkansas (44.7%) | North Carolina (47.5%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Arkansas (43.1%) | North Carolina (39.8%)
- Rebounding Margin: Arkansas (0.4) | North Carolina (8.2)
- Turnover Margin: Arkansas (4.2) | North Carolina (-0.3)
- RPI: Arkansas (20) | North Carolina (11)
Analysis: Arkansas' frantic pace will put North Carolina in some trouble, but North Carolina has been known for fast-paced offenses. Also North Carolina holds a huge advantage rebounding, so when it goes to a half-court game the Tar Heels will have no trouble beating the Razorbacks on the boards.
Prediction:
6. Xavier vs. 14. Georgia State
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Xavier (73.6 PPG) | Georgia State (72.0 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Xavier (67.6 PPG) | Georgia State (62.2 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Xavier (47.3%) | Georgia State (48%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Xavier (43.7%) | Georgia State (38.1%)
- Rebounding Margin: Xavier (3.6) | Georgia State (-0.6)
- Turnover Margin: Xavier (0.9) | Georgia State (4.5)
- RPI: Xavier (30) | Georgia State (53)
Analysis: Georgia State can be really pesky on defense. They force many turnovers per game and shoot the ball effective from the floor. Xavier on the other hand shoots the ball effective and will hold the rebounding edge in this game.
Fun Fact: Kevin Ware, the former Louisville player that broke his leg while playing two year ago, plays for Georgia State.
Prediction:
10. Ohio State vs. 2. Arizona
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Ohio State (75.8 PPG) | Arizona (76.4 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Ohio State (62.3 PPG) | Arizona (58.6 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Ohio State (48.6%) | Arizona (48.9%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Ohio State (40.5%) | Arizona (39.2%)
- Rebounding Margin: Ohio State (2.9) | Arizona (8.8)
- Turnover Margin: Ohio State (3.4) | Arizona (2.9)
- RPI: Ohio State (41) | Arizona (5)
Analysis: I really think this one will be a close game, but the rebounding ability of Arizona will be the difference. Ohio State will come close though.
Prediction:
Sweet Sixteen: 1. Wisconsin vs. 4. North Carolina
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Wisconsin (71.9 PPG) | North Carolina (77.9 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Wisconsin (56.1 PPG) | North Carolina (68.4 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Wisconsin (48.0%) | North Carolina (47.5%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Wisconsin (43.1%) | North Carolina (39.8%)
- Rebounding Margin: Wisconsin (6.0) | North Carolina (8.2)
- Turnover Margin: Wisconsin (2.6) | North Carolina (-0.3)
- RPI: Wisconsin (4) | North Carolina (11)
Analysis: Wisconsin and North Carolina match each other really well. North Carolina scores more points, but Wisconsin shoots it better. Wisconsin allows fewer points, but North Carolina defends shots better. The key stat in this one is turnovers. Will North Carolina turn the ball over a lot or will they play smart. I hate to do this....
Prediction: Just Kidding!
Sweet Sixteen: 14. Georgia State vs. 2. Arizona
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: Georgia State (72.0 PPG) | Arizona (76.4 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: Georgia State (62.2 PPG) | Arizona (58.6 PPG)
- FG Percentage: Georgia State (48%) | Arizona (48.9%)
- FG Percentage Defense: Georgia State (38.1) | Arizona (39.2%)
- Rebounding Margin: Georgia State (-0.6) | Arizona (8.8)
- Turnover Margin: Georgia State (4.5) | Arizona (2.9)
- RPI: Georgia State (53) | Arizona (5)
Analysis: I don't think this will be much of a Sweet Sixteen game. Look for Arizona to start to pull away late in the first half after they adjust to the defense of Georgia State.
Prediction:
Elite Eight: 4. North Carolina vs. 2. Arizona
Stats:
- Scoring Offense: North Carolina (77.9 PPG) | Arizona (76.4 PPG)
- Scoring Defense: North Carolina (68.4 PPG) | Arizona (58.6 PPG)
- FG Percentage: North Carolina (47.5%) | Arizona (48.9%)
- FG Percentage Defense: North Carolina (39.8%) | Arizona (39.2%)
- Rebounding Margin: North Carolina (8.2) | Arizona (8.8)
- Turnover Margin: North Carolina (-0.3) | Arizona (2.9)
- RPI: North Carolina (11) | Arizona (5)
Analysis: North Carolina will have a full head of steam after coming off a big win against Wisconsin, while Arizona will be in the elite 8 easily with a win over BYU. This might be North Carolina worst nightmare. Arizona plays really tough defense and with few scoring options outside the Tar Heels will be limited to the their low post game, in which Arizona has some really good big men.
Prediction:
